It’s still time to buy
Thursday, June 28th, 2007The old shipbuilder’s house hit the market in November with a $719,000 price tag. Todd and Kristen Walker could not even think of bidding, even when the price dropped to $679,000.But in a soft housing market, they had buyer’s clout. After negotiating with the sellers, the Walkers bought the house for $630,000 in March, moving in soon after with their sons Wesley, 3, and Beckett, 1, two cats, and a big black dog.
“I think we got a deal,” said Kristen, 38, a landscape designer and at-home mom. “We wanted to be in a top school district. . . . We figure it is worth it for us to be house-poor.”
Housing prices north of Boston continue to head south. The slide started a year ago, when Bay State house sales and prices cooled after peaking in 2005. The spring market didn’t produce a thaw this year, with house sales and prices rapidly declining across Essex County for the first five months of this year, according to data published Tuesday by the Warren Group in Boston.
Single-family house sales in Essex County fell 3.9 percent from January to May, and the median price fell 2.8 percent, to $343,000. Statewide, house sales declined 2.9 percent over the last year, and the median price dropped 3.6 percent to $313,000, according to the Warren Group, which compiles data from transactions recorded at registries of deeds.
“The numbers don’t lie,” said Terry Egan, editor in chief of the Warren Group’s real estate publications. “The Massachusetts real estate market as a whole is slumping.”
A glut of houses for sale, longer selling times, and rising interest rates have combined to put downward pressure on the market. In the January-May period, the median price plunged 32 percent compared with the same period last year in West Newbury, to $448,500, and fell 25.5 percent in Essex, to $384,275, the Warren Group reported.
The national outlook is also gloomy. The National Association of Realtors revised its 2007 housing projections to reflect a weakening market. Single-family house sales are expected to decrease 4.6 percent, and the median price is expected to drop 1.3 percent, to $219,000, the Chicago-based trade group reported this month. The group had previously projected a 2.9 percent sales decline and a 1 percent price drop.
Mortgage rates, long at historic lows, are ticking upward. The average 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage rate jumped to 6.74 percent, from 6.53 percent, a five-year high, according to Freddie Mac, one of the nation’s top mortgage investors.
Meanwhile, single-family houses north of Boston sat on the market an average of 158 days from January to April, compared with 128 days for the same period last year, according to Multiple Listing Service Inc.
“It’s a challenging time,” said Kim Sandler, president of the North Shore Association of Realtors, a Beverly-based trade group. “We’ve had a lot inventory, and some of that old inventory is moving . . . but a lot of that is due to price reductions.”
Prices in a few communities are bucking the downturn. Gloucester’s median price soared 17.5 percent, to $412,500, and Topsfield’s rose 9.4 percent, to $519,823, for the period.
“Volume was up in Gloucester, particularly in the $300,000 to $500,000 price range,” Sandler said.
Overall, big price drops show that the region’s sky-high housing market has come back down to earth, local brokers said.
“The prices couldn’t continue as they had,” said Pam Cote, an agent at Re/Max Advantage in Beverly. “They were going up, up, up for so long, things had to start to come down. We’re seeing that now.”
“People know it’s not a seller’s market,” said Alan Indeck, a 23-year veteran agent in Beverly. “They’re not going to get top-of-the-market prices.”
The sales slump has also forced real estate agents to rethink pricing strategies.
In Marblehead, a 10-room Colonial on Sheldon Road is priced at $679,000. Two years ago, it would have been priced over $700,000, said broker Claire Dembowski.
“You have to listen to the market,” said Dembowski, an agent at Re/Max Advantage in Marblehead. “An overpriced listing is not going to sell. We’ve all had to adjust to what’s happening.”
The house, built in 1962, has yet to get an offer since going on the market last month. “It’s a tough market,” Dembowski said.
A recent open house attracted a dozen visitors, but no offers.
One visitor agreed that the wood-and-brick house is priced right.
“The price is fair,” said Glenn Brown, 49, of Marblehead, who works as a broker for a mortgage company. “I’m surprised it hasn’t sold already.”
Brown said he would like to buy the house, but first must sell the Marblehead house he and his wife, Helene, bought for $990,000 two years ago.
“I have to get close to what I paid for our house before we make any kind of move,” Brown said.
The soft market is hard for sellers to swallow.
In Essex, James and Lynn Hagar were eager to sell their antique house. The couple, who have young children, wanted to move to a larger house next door. They thought about waiting for a better offer, but decided to sell to the Walkers for $49,000 less than their second listing price.
“We were going to keep it at $679,000 and just wait it out,” Lynn Hagar said, “But we knew they really liked the house. We thought they’d be good neighbors. We figured, why pass up a sale?”
The Walkers were in a similar situation. They listed their Colonial in Gloucester in October for $389,000. The couple wanted to move to Essex, where Todd’s family had a home and to send their children to Manchester-Essex regional schools, Kristen said.
They wanted to get at least $385,000 for their house. But after 118 days on the market, they accepted $379,000.
“I don’t think we sold our house at a good time,” said Kristen, who once sold real estate in Cambridge. “But we definitely bought at the right time.”
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